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欧洲天然气价格创历史新高
举报2021-09-29 10:53:11 来源:中国石化新闻网

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据油价网9月27日消息,荷兰TTF和英国NBP天然气价格周一创下历史新高,上涨11%,原因是近月合同即将到期,欧洲天然气危机加剧。


周一下午,近月(10月)合约TTFV1上涨6.635欧元/兆瓦时,至76.875欧元,部分原因是合约本周到期。


随着合约即将结束,价格通常会飙升。


英国NBP天然气虚拟交易中心的价格也创下历史新高,近月合约价格周一下午创下历史新高。


天然气价格飙升的另一个原因是欧洲的供应严重短缺,这种情况正在迅速蔓延到其他国家和其他市场,包括煤炭和石油市场,因为电力供不应求。


随着冬季采暖季节的临近,天然气危机将会加剧,供应不足以满足当前的需求,更不用说为寒冷季节增加的需求储备了。


欧洲天然气危机已促使欧洲化肥生产商限制产量,这可能导致食品价格与天然气价格一起飙升。它还引发了停电和工厂关闭的警告。


如果冬天比往年更冷,天然气供应可能会更加短缺,让欧洲,可能还有其他国家,尤其是那些勉强负担得起当前能源价格的国家,陷入寒冷之中。


考虑到合约到期的时间,明天价格可能继续走高。但据EBW分析师称,10月份天气转暖可能会让天然气短缺暂缓,给本周晚些时候的天然气价格带来压力。


裘寅 编译自 油价网


原文如下:


Natural Gas Prices In Europe Hit An All-Time High


Dutch TTF and UK NBP natural gas prices hit all-time settlement highs on Monday—up 11% as the front-month contract is set to soon expire and the European gas crisis worsens.


The front-month (October) contract TTFV1 was up by €6.635€ MWh on Monday afternoon, to €76.875, pushed higher in part by the contract rolling off this week.


Prices often spike as the contract comes to a close.


The UK’s NBP virtual trading hub for natural gas also hit a record-high price, with front-month contracts reaching an all-time high on Monday afternoon.


The surge in natural gas prices is also due to a massive supply shortage in Europe, a situation that is quickly spilling over into other countries and other markets—including the coal and oil markets as demand for power exceeds supply.


The natural gas crisis is set to intensify as winter heating season approaches, with supplies insufficient to keep up with current demand, let alone build stockpiles for what will be increased demand in the cold season.


Europe’s natural gas crisis has prompted European fertilizer producers to curb output, which could send food prices soaring along with the natural gas prices. It has also sparked warnings of blackouts and factory shutdowns.


If the winter is colder than normal, natural gas supplies could run even shorter, leaving Europeans and possibly other countries, especially those that can barely afford current energy prices, in the cold.


Prices may continue higher tomorrow given the timing of the contract expiration. But according to EBW analysts, warmer October weather may allow natural gas to catch its breath, pressuring gas prices later this week.


 

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